ARLP044 Propagation de KT7H: October 20, 1995


QST de W1AW
Propagation Forecast Bulletin 44 ARLP044
From Tad Cook, KT7H
Seattle, WA October 20, 1995
To all radio amateurs

SB PROP ARL ARLP044
ARLP044 Propagation de KT7H

Average solar flux was up about 10 points over the past week when compared to the previous period. Flux peaked around 92 on October 12, and has been declining toward a bottom out near 70 after November 1. It should peak again in the mid-eighties around November 8 and 9.

Geomagnetic activity has also been up for the past couple of days, and should continue for a day more. Watch for unsettled conditions around October 25, and then truly stormy periods around the end of this month and through the first week of the next.

Sunspot Numbers for October 12 through 18 were 73, 74, 73, 50, 67, 55 and 43, with a mean of 62.1. 10.7 cm flux was 92.2, 87.9, 87.2, 83, 85.6, 84.6 and 81.5, with a mean of 86

Path projection for this week is from the center of the continental U.S. to Asia, South America and Europe.

Toward Asia check 80 meters from 0800 to 1330z, 40 meters from 0700 to 1430 and 30 meters from 1400 to 1600. 20 meters looks good from 2100 to 0030. 17 meters may have an opening around 2200.

South America looks good from 2330 to 0930z on 80 meters and 2300 to 1000 on 40. Check 30 meters from 2200 to 0300 and again around 1030. On most days 30 should be open past 0300 to 0730. 20 looks good around 1430 and again from 1900 to 0030 and 17 meters from 1500 to 2300. 15 meters should be open from 1600 to 2130. Check 10 meters around 1800.

For Europe, 80 meters should be open from 2300 to 0700z and 40 meters from 2200 to 0500 and 0700 to 0900. Check 30 meters around 1930 to 2130 and 20 meters from 1500 to 1830.